Evidence-based public policy making for medicines across countries: findings and implications for the future
Publication: Journal of Comparative Effectiveness Research
Abstract
Aim: Global expenditure on medicines is rising up to 6% per year driven by increasing prevalence of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) and new premium priced medicines for cancer, orphan diseases and other complex areas. This is difficult to sustain without reforms. Methods: Extensive narrative review of published papers and contextualizing the findings to provide future guidance. Results: New models are being introduced to improve the managed entry of new medicines including managed entry agreements, fair pricing approaches and monitoring prescribing against agreed guidance. Multiple measures have also successfully been introduced to improve the prescribing of established medicines. This includes encouraging greater prescribing of generics and biosimilars versus originators and patented medicines in a class to conserve resources without compromising care. In addition, reducing inappropriate antibiotic utilization. Typically, multiple measures are the most effective. Conclusion: Multiple measures will be needed to attain and retain universal healthcare.
Global expenditure on medicines has risen appreciably in recent years, and is estimated to reach US$1.5 trillion by 2023. This represents an annual compounded growth rate of 3–6% in recent years [1]. This growth rate is driven by many factors, which include the increasing prevalence of non-communicable chronic diseases (NCDs) including cancer, coronary vascular disease (CVD), diabetes and hypertension, and with it an associated increase in medicine use, increasing prices and costs of new medicines especially for cancer and orphan diseases, and changes in clinical practice [2–6]. This increase in expenditure on medicines has additional ramifications among lower- and middle-income countries (LMICs) where expenditure on medicines can be as high as 60% of total healthcare expenditure, much of which is out-of-pocket, with potentially catastrophic consequences on families when members become ill [7–10]. Concurrent with this, the WHO estimates that more than half of all medicines are prescribed or dispensed inappropriately [8,11], and inappropriate prescribing increases adverse drug reactions as well as resistance with antimicrobials, increasing mortality, morbidity and costs [12–17]. Misinformation has also played a key role with increasing antimicrobial prescribing and dispensing for patients with COVID-19 including hydroxychloroquine, which is a concern [18,19].
Concerns with the potential value of new medicines, and their role, even in high income countries, especially for oncology and orphan diseases, is leading to the development of new models and approaches to better manage their introduction [3,20–22]. These developments are seen as critical since, unless addressed, expenditure on specialty medicines, including those for chronic, complex or rare diseases including cancer, will approach 50% of total expenditure on medicines by 2023 in most developed markets [1]. Regional and national health authorities across Europe, who have budget responsibilities for their citizens with the goal of maximizing the health of their populations within finite resources [23,24], have instigated a number of activities to improve the introduction of new medicines given rising expenditures [3,21,24]. Activities typically start pre-launch with horizon scanning, progress to peri-launch including assessing reimbursement and funding at requested prices, and finish with post-launch activities including evaluating the effectiveness and safety of new medicines in routine clinical care as well as evaluating prescribing against agreed criteria [3,25–27].
Ongoing initiatives among health authorities to improve the quality and efficiency of prescribing of established medicines include initiatives to increase the prescribing of multiple sourced medicines versus originators and patented medicines in the same or related classes, as well as biosimilars, without compromising care [24,28–31]. In addition, encouraging disinvestment in technologies where there are concerns with their effectiveness and value, enhanced by the recent formalization of potential approaches toward disinvestment among countries [32–36].
We are aware that there are examples where reforms have been introduced but have failed to reach their desired objective since not all scenarios were considered before their introduction. This includes initiatives to enhance International Non-Proprietary Name (INN) prescribing in Abu Dhabi to conserve resources without encouraging physicians to preferentially prescribe multiple sourced products in the class instead of more expensive patented medicines or encourage pharmacists to preferentially dispense the cheapest multiple sourced medicine [37]. Such outcomes can be avoided by comprehensive planning before the introduction of potential new measures, building on published successful approaches.
There have also been increasing concerns with the level of misinformation that can exist regarding medicines, especially if this increases morbidity, mortality and/or costs [38,39]. This has been the case surrounding the prescribing and dispensing of hydroxychloroquine for the prevention and treatment of COVID-19 across countries. In this situation, despite concerns with the lack of evidence including the lack of control arms in the early studies with hydroxychloroquine, the initial hype resulted in endorsements from governments, which led to increases in prices, shortages and suicides arising from cardiac side effects [19,40–43]. The concerns were endorsed by the fact that subsequent studies failed to show any clinical benefit from hydroxychloroquine resulting in a lack of any endorsement [44,45].
Consequently, in view of concerns with rising expenditures on medicines and finite budgets, alongside concerns with rising rates of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) due to inappropriate prescribing and dispensing of antimicrobials, we believe there is a need to document examples of activities principally instigated by health authorities across countries, and their impact, to provide guidance on evidence-based activities that can be instigated to improve the future quality and efficiency of prescribing and dispensing of both new and established medicines. This was the objective behind this perspective paper, in other words, to provide guidance especially to health authorities on potential initiatives that can be instigated to improve future quality and efficiency of prescribing. Alongside this, possible pitfalls to avoid including the impact of no or limited demand-side measures to influence future prescribing. We will start with ongoing activities regarding new medicines before discussing established medicines to provide future guidance.
Materials & methods
During the last decades, the authors of this perspective paper have been involved in multiple studies researching measures to influencing the quality of prescribing and dispensing in many different countries across the world. In the extensive narrative review of the literature, we have sought to document multiple examples of the impact of activities to influence future prescribing and dispensing of medicines across sectors. As well as the underlying infrastructure where pertinent, which we believed could be helpful to policy makers in the future. This includes activities that have not secured the intended consequences, and the rationale behind this, and incorporates both high-income as well as middle- and lower-income countries (LMICs) across continents.
We adopted this approach rather than undertaking an extensive literature search of peer-reviewed publications, as well as distinguishing between different countries in terms of their income levels, since our objective was principally to document examples of government and health authority activities and decision making across countries and their impact based, as mentioned, on the considerable knowledge of the co-authors. Subsequently, contextualize the findings to provide future direction. We have undertaken similar approaches before when debating key areas principally from a health authority perspective. This includes key issues surrounding new medicines including managed entry agreements (MEAs), minimum effectiveness criteria and potential approaches for new oncology medicines to improve the assessment of their role and value, key issues surrounding generics, biosimilars, upper respiratory tract infections, fixed-dose combinations and shortages of medicines as well as key reforms to enhance prescribing efficiency [20,21,23,28,29,46–53].
We concentrated on medicines rather than other technologies such as public health interventions given increasing expenditure on medicines, their significant contribution to total healthcare expenditure, especially in LMICs, and limited evaluations to date of technologies such as lifestyle interventions [1,7,54].
We have not specified a time scale for the publications since initiatives span a number of years starting with those to enhance the prescribing of generics versus originators and patented medicines in a class without compromising care when the first multiple-sourced proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) and statins became available in the early 2000s [55], as well as patented angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs) [56], up to the current times with misinformation surrounding treatments for patients with COVID-19 and the consequences thereof [19]. We have not assessed the quality of the documented papers including the methodology using scales such as the modified Jadad scale, Egger's test or the Newcastle-Ottawa scale, since as stated, our objective was to provide guidance to principally health authority personnel based on the considerable expertise of the co-authors [57–60]. In addition, we have only used examples from published papers in peer-reviewed journals. As mentioned, we have adopted this approach before when providing guidance to key stakeholder groups [3,23,28,50].
We will first review ongoing activities among governments and health authorities to improve the quality and efficiency of prescribing of new medicines starting pre-launch and continuing post-launch. This will be followed by reviewing a range of activities that have been instigated by health authorities and others to improve the quality and efficiency of prescribing and dispensing of established medicines across sectors including activities to improve antimicrobial utilization such as reducing pertinent misinformation. In both situations, demand-side measures will be captured under the 4Es: Education, Engineering, Economics and Enforcement [24,61]. Table 1A in the Supplementary Material contains the definitions of the 4Es and gives illustrative examples. In brief, Education includes developing and communicating formularies and guidelines, as well as educational activities in hospitals typically co-ordinated by Drug and Therapeutic Committees (DTCs) to improve the quality and efficiency of care [61–64]. This also includes auditing compliance with guidelines in routine clinical care [65]. Engineering includes managerial or organizational interventions including instigating and monitoring prescribing against targets [24,61]. Economics includes financial incentives to key stakeholder groups including physicians, pharmacists and patients including payment to physicians for attaining agreed prescribing targets as well as fining pharmacists for illegally dispensing an antibiotic without a prescription [24,66,67]. Enforcement includes regulations by law [24,61]. Examples include national policies to instigate DTCs in hospitals, as seen in South Africa, compulsory generic substitution as seen in Sweden as well as laws banning the dispensing of antibiotics in pharmacies without a prescription [68–70].
We chose to principally concentrate on a health authority/payer perspective for this paper as they are the key personnel typically charged with maximizing the health gain of their population within available resources [24]. In addition, they are typically the key drivers for initiating public policy initiatives.
Results
We will first review initiatives that have been instigated principally by health authorities to try and improve the quality and efficiency of the prescribing of new medicines given concerns before discussing initiatives for established medicines. This includes their prescribing and dispensing across sectors and countries.
New medicines
We have seen new models developed across Europe to optimize the managed entry of new medicines in response to concerns with their safety and value including those for cancer and orphan diseases [3,20,71,72]. These models can be divided into three pillars: namely pre-, peri- and post launch activities (Figure 1). They build on initial initiatives in Stockholm County Council, Sweden (Regional health authority), as well as across Europe with respect to dabigatran [20,70]. Dabigatran was the catalyst for the development of this model as horizon scanning activities had documented concerns with the potential budget impact versus warfarin. In addition, there were concerns that the manufacturer was suggesting reduced monitoring of patients with this newer anticoagulant, which was seen as an issue especially in the elderly with poor renal function as this could potentially increase morbidity and mortality [20,73,74].

Figure 1. Ongoing model to optimize the managed entry of new drugs across Europe incorporating national and regional stakeholder groups.
Pre-launch activities, including horizon scanning activities, are growing across countries given the number of new medicines in development including new oncology medicines and likely high price expectations [71,77–80]. Horizon scanning is defined as “identifying new medicines or new uses of existing medicines that are expected to receive marketing authorization from the Regulatory Authority in the near future and estimating their potential impact on patient care” [81,82]. Horizon scanning activities can include budget forecasts in all or some populations to guide health authorities with future planning activities including budgeting activities [26,75,83]. Such activities typically start with a prioritization/filtering process based on agreed criteria (Supplementary Box 1A) before undertaking early assessments and monitoring the information provided [3,75,84].
Horizon scanning activities among health authorities across Europe and wider typically start up to 24–36 months before likely approval by regulatory agencies such as the European Medicines Agency (EMA), with more complete data provided pre-launch to key stakeholder groups as additional data becomes available [3,75]. These activities are increasingly seen as critical with for instance new cancer medicines increasingly being launched with only Phase II data and concerns about potentially limited health gain including survival [85–87]. Key Horizon Scanning groups include the EuroScan International Network, which is a global network of publicly funded early awareness and alert (EAA) system bodies for new health technologies across countries [88,89]. This builds on early alert systems in individual countries including Italy, Sweden and the UK [26,90–92].
Table 1 contains activities of early awareness systems (Horizon Scanning) among two European countries. EuroScan have also researched pertinent topic areas including key factors driving innovation in new medicines with limited correlation with the actual burden of disease [93].
| Country | Impact | Ref. |
|---|---|---|
| Sweden | • The Swedish Early Awareness and Alert System is seen as robust as it identified all new medicines that would go on to have substantial economic impact (21 medicines) and subsequently prioritized most of these medicines (71 medicines were prioritized by the System) • The sensitivity and positive predictive value of the medicines identified were 76.2 and 22.5%, respectively • Subgroup analyzes showed that the accuracy of prioritization, in terms of sensitivity, was 100% for antineoplastic/ immunomodulating medicines, which is important given their envisaged budget impact | [78] |
| United Kingdom | • The UK early warning system appears to have performed well in terms of sensitivity over the past decade (0.92 based on new medicines subject to a NICE appraisal) • However, a false positive rate of 60% indicates the filtration criteria for medicines needs to be tightened for increased efficiency | [91] |
However, it is recognized that horizon scanning activities can be costly in terms of manpower and available resources leading to proposals among the Ministers of Health of the BeNeLuxA consortium of countries, in other words, Belgium, Netherlands, Luxembourg and Austria, to contract out such activities [79,94].
The rationale for these activities was illustrated, as mentioned, by concerns among health authorities that care was needed among physicians when prescribing dabigatran in the elderly with atrial fibrillation as dabigatran is principally excreted in the kidneys, and excessive blood levels arising from poor renal function could potentially be catastrophic [20]. This was indeed the case in some patients when dabigatran was first launched with lack of guidance from the company [73]. However, there were no excessive bleeding rates in regions and localities where health authority educational and other initiatives had taken place pre-launch [25,95].
Independent willingness-to-pay (WTP) as well as other preference elucidation studies are also being conducted pre-pricing deliberations in some countries to help health authorities with subsequent pricing deliberations especially given increasing concerns with the lack of transparency with suggested prices [96–100]. We have seen WTP activities grow in countries such as Brazil with important implications for future pricing deliberations [96,98,101].
Within peri-launch activities (Figure 1), countries have adopted different approaches to the pricing and reimbursement of new medicines; however, typically considerations such as requested prices and the level of health gain versus current standards are core considerations [76,102–106]. A recent development has been an attempt by the Italian reimbursement agency to better define innovation for new medicines [107], as well as by the European Commission to better define value in ‘value-based healthcare’ to improve transparency in this area [108].
The general concerns regarding the continuing increases in the prices of new cancer medicines have resulted in a number of initiatives and developments. These include establishing minimum effectiveness levels for new oncology medicines to be seen as an advance and therefore able to command a premium price [51,109–111]. In addition, the development of new pricing models for new oncology medicines including the potential for differential pricing and price caps across countries [23,112,113]. Other ongoing activities to address concerns with pricing, affordability and potential reimbursement of new medicines include the instigation of MEAs or risk sharing arrangements [50,114,115], the development of multicriteria decision analyzes models [21,116–119]. which have recently been adapted for LMICs [120], discussions around fair and transparent pricing for new medicines including models being developed by European health insurance companies and others [23,112,120–124], evaluating possible annuity payment models especially for advanced and complex treatments such as cell therapies as well as de-linking the costs of R&D from a medicine's price to enhance their affordability especially in LMICs [103,110,125,126]. Subsequent sections discuss some of the key issues regarding MEAs especially some of the concerns from a health authority perspective that need to be addressed to enhance their use under evidenced-based approaches.
Post-launch activities (Figure 1) include monitoring the effectiveness and safety of new medicines in routine clinical practice using information in either patient registries or Electronic Health Records (EHRs). However, this typically requires patient-level systems to be embedded within healthcare systems [50]. Individual patient registries for new biological medicines in Italy have proved challenging, which has resulted in limited clinical data being collected in practice [127]. This compares with the comprehensive patient-level systems in Catalonia, Spain, where for instance the follow-up of patients prescribed dabigatran showed that a number of elderly patients were not being prescribed the recommended dose, renal function was also not being recorded in an appreciable number of patients (30%) and there were concerns that 17% of patients prescribed dabigatran had previous ischemic heart disease, which is a contraindication [128]. Educational activities are ongoing to address these identified concerns to improve future prescribing and patient care. Post-launch studies with these novel oral anticoagulants (NOACs) in countries with suitable patient databases have now evolved to examine differences in key areas. Key areas include assessing the effectiveness, safety and adherence in routine clinical care between the different NOACs now that several NOACs are available to guide future prescribing [129,130].
In a different disease area, longer term studies in Sweden have shown that patients with rheumatoid arthritis treated with biological drugs are not at increased risk of invasive melanoma despite initial concerns although care is needed in patients at high risk of melanoma [3,131]. This was a concern with biological medicines when first launched. Alongside this, Frisk et al. (2018) have demonstrated an estimated overall cure rate of 96% with second-generation direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) in patients with chronic hepatitis C in routine care, with high levels of prescribing adherence noted to the introduction protocol across Sweden [27]. This is especially important as there were major concerns with the potential budget impact of DAAs when they were first launched given the potential number of patients across countries and their price [132,133].
We are also seeing increased monitoring of physician prescribing against agreed guidance or quality indicators as part of ongoing activities within hospitals to improve the quality and efficiency of prescribing of new and established medicines [65,75,134–136]. Such activities typically centre around Drug and Therapeutic Committees (DTCs), also known as Pharmacy and Therapeutics Committees (PTCs), within hospitals, which are seen as a pivotal model to promote the rational use of medicines (RUM) in hospitals [64,137–139]. DTCs within hospitals can provide the necessary leadership and activities to select the most appropriate medicines to prescribe as well as educate physicians on RUM and evidence-based medicine thereby helping optimize expenditure on medicines and improve patient outcomes within available resources [62,64,68,139]. An example of this concerns the management of patients with ipilimumab for malignant melanoma within the Karolinska University Hospitals. Treating all possible patients would have caused severe budgetary issues without necessarily appreciably improving patient outcomes. Key stakeholders, including those involved with the DTC activities, jointly developed agreed patient criteria for its usage ahead of its launch to restrict prescribing to those patient sub-populations most likely to benefit. Follow-up activities revealed agreed patient criteria were being followed, which resulted in only 15 patients being prescribed ipilimumab in the first year of its availability compared with potential expectations of over 50 patients a year [140]. As a result, these combined activities at the Karolinska University Hospital helped to conserve appreciable funds without compromising care.
In Brazil, there is the National List of Essential Medicines (Rename), a technical-scientific element that guides the supply, prescription and dispensing of medicines in the Brazilian NHS [141]. In 2011, the National Commission for Incorporation of Health Technology (Conitec) became responsible for proposing updates of Rename including new medicines based on a thorough evaluation including their efficacy, effectiveness, safety, cost, cost–effectiveness and availability versus current standards based on available published evidence [142]. Adherence to any published treatment guidance incorporating new medicines is enhanced by 100% co-pay for patients when their prescription does not follow national guidance, with ongoing academic detailing activities in some regions of Brazil to further enhance guidance to published guidelines [143,144].
However, there are concerns with the lack of active DTCs within hospitals in many LMICs even in tertiary hospitals [145]. This is a concern with DTC activities typically including adding to- or removing medicines from formulary lists principally based on Essential Medicines Lists and Standard Treatment Guidelines (EMLs/STG), enhancing RUM within the hospital, providing guidance on possible alternative medicines in times of shortage, and encouraging pharmacovigilance activities given ongoing concerns as well as using agreed indicators to monitor DTC performance [65,68,146–150]. Consequently, where pertinent, DTC activities should be encouraged in hospitals. South Africa with its government policies and guidelines surrounding DTC activities as well as formulary development, management, and use within health facilities, provides examples to other LMICs seeking to instigate evidence-based approaches [68,149–151].
This model for the introduction of new medicines across Europe (Figure 1) has been further refined in Stockholm County Council, Sweden, with extensive follow-up activities to ensure the envisaged value of new medicines is being seen in routine clinical care using their comprehensive patient-level databases and that physicians are adhering to agreed prescribing guidance building on the examples with dabigatran and ipilimumab [26,27,140,152].
Managed entry agreements
Managed entry agreements (MEAs) are typically a set instruments that are used by health authorities to reduce the uncertainty and high prices associated with the majority of new medicines and, as such, help provide access to new premium priced medicines that would otherwise struggle to be reimbursed at requested prices [50,153,154]. Health Technology Assessment International (HTAi) defines MEAs as “an arrangement between a manufacturer and payer or provider that enables coverage or reimbursement of a health technology subject to specific conditions” [50,155,156].
MEAs can typically be broken down to either financial-based schemes, typically involving discounts, rebates or price volume agreements or performance- or outcome-based schemes including outcome guarantee schemes [76,104,115,154,157]. Outcome- or performance-based agreements are generally seen as more problematic than financial schemes since they typically require robust and sophisticated systems to collect and analyze the data, and many confounders may influence patient outcomes in real life [50,157,158].
However, there are a number of issues that are causing concern to payers that ideally need to be addressed going forward. These include a lack of transparency with most financial-based agreements, especially confidential discounts, as well as published data on their outcomes to guide future evidenced-based decisions [50,115]. Confidential discounts can be seen as undemocratic as debates within parliaments are not possible when ministers have already negotiated confidential discounts.
Supplementary Box 2A discusses key issues regarding both financial- and outcome-based schemes in more detail. In any event, we are likely to see an increase in the number of MEAs in the future with the continued launch of new high-priced medicines coupled with continued pressure on resources, exacerbated by the current COVID-19 pandemic [3,50,115,159].
Established medicines
There have been numerous activities by health authorities over the years to enhance the quality and efficiency of prescribing of established medicines. These include encouraging prescribing against agreed guidance, increasing the prescribing of generics and biosimilars versus originators given numerous publications demonstrating no difference in outcomes [136,160–171], encouraging the prescribing of multiple sourced medicines within a class or related class without compromising care [28,172], as well as improving appropriate prescribing and dispensing of antibiotics to reduce antibiotic resistance (AMR) with its impact on morbidity, mortality and costs [15–17,173].
Health authority activities to enhance adherence to prescribing guidance
There are ongoing concerns whether the current World Health Organisation/International Network for Rational Use of Drugs (WHO/INRUD) indicators, which are used extensively across LMICs including Africa, actually assess the quality of prescribing in practice [174–177]. In their recent study, Niaz et al. (2019) found sub-optimal levels for prescribing among ambulatory care facilities for the indicator levels established by WHO/ INRUD [174] (Supplementary Table 2A). Of equal concern is that they found the majority of current WHO/INRUD indicators had low sensitivity and/or specificity when assessing the quality of prescribing versus adherence to national STGs, with the WHO/INRUD indicators typically having poor accuracy in predicting rational prescribing [174]. Consequently, the authors called for more specific quality indicators to be developed to enable Governments and health authorities across Africa to more accurately assess the quality of prescribing in ambulatory care [174]. Supplementary Box 3A contains key attributes that health authorities and others need to apply to any new quality indicators developed for ambulatory care facilities across Africa and wider to improve future prescribing.
This controversy contrasts with multiple studies that have shown that adherence to robust clinical guidelines improves patient outcomes [178–182]. Table 2 contains details of activities across countries to enhance adherence to guidelines and their impact to guide future activities.
| Study (year) | Intervention/activity | Impact where known | Ref. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wettermark et al., (2009); Gustafsson et al. (2011); Bjorkhem-Bergman et al. (2013), and Eriksen et al. (2017) | • Developing a condensed list of well-known medicines covering the vast majority of prescribing needs in ambulatory care (the ‘Wise List’ of Stockholm Country Council, Sweden) based on sound evidence-based principles with strong conflicts-of-interest regulations • ‘Wise List’ updated annually with the help of multidisciplinary Expert Groups with physicians able to question the developers to justify their choices • Regular benchmarking of prescribing against suggested medicines coupled with physicians writing an annual quality report regarding their prescribing habits and areas for improvement | • Adherence to prescribing recommendations for the core list of recommended medicines increased from 80% of all prescriptions in 2005 to 90% in 2015 • There was decreasing variation among the ambulatory care practices over the years – 32% down to 13% | [62,63,183,184] |
| Fitzgerald et al. (2014) | Review of principally health authority activities exploring key initiatives including: • Mailed dissemination for improving guideline uptake • Computerised decision-support systems • Educational meetings to enhance adherence • Educational outreach visits • Audit and feedback | Overall, variable impact: • Mailed dissemination – variable impact • Computerised decision-support systems – variable impact • Educational meetings – variable impact • Educational outreach visits – shown to be effective with improving adherence rates • Audit and feedback – generally positive impact | [185] |
| Jeffery et al. (2015) | Review of principally health authority activities exploring key initiatives including: • Educational interventions • Audit and feedback • Academic detailing (outreach visits) | Overall, variable impact: • Educational interventions – Overall positive impact. Outcomes evaluated included disease specific targets, hospitalisations and mortality • Audit and feedback as well as academic detailing – overall positive impact on disease specific targets as well as adherence rates to the guidelines | [182] |
| Niaz et al. (2020) | Assessment of programmatic activities including comprehensive of NSTGs, simple indexing/ ease of understanding and access, routine availability of suggested medicines and updated/relevant information | • 73% of analyzed prescriptions complied with the NSTGs • 94.6% of prescribers were aware of/had access to the NSTGs • The NSTGs were typically easy to use and regularly refered to, with the main drivers of compliance being programmatic including access to up-to date and objective guidelines and ease of referencing | [186] |
NSTG: Namibian standard treatment guideline.
Health authority & other initiatives to enhance the prescribing of generics versus originators
The United Kingdom (UK) has high rates of voluntary INN prescribed, with activities starting in medical school to educate students regarding the INN name of medicines rather than originator/patented names, and continuing post- qualification through health authority activities including Education, monitoring of prescribing and prescribing support systems [31,67,187]. This has resulted in high rates of INN prescribing in practice in the UK (Supplementary Table 3A) apart from a limited number of well-known situations (Supplementary Box 4A) [187,188]. Originator name dispensing is enhanced by the fact that pharmacists in the UK are not allowed to substitute an originator with a generic [31,188,189]. Possible confusion in product names between packages for multiple sourced medicines and the originator are addressed in the UK by just having the INN name on packages of generic medicines. This is different to a number of other European countries where packages can contain the name of different branded generics alongside the originator. This can cause confusion among patients especially when different branded generics are being dispensed as a result of procurement practices. The resultant confusion can result in potential under- and over-dosing unless the prescribing physicians and/or dispensing pharmacist spend time with patients re-assuring them that the medicines are the same [190–192].
National, regional and local authorities in the UK are involved in addressing concerns with generics including when there are different salts to the originator with a lower number of indications. Typically provided bioequivalence has been demonstrated between the generic and the originator, as seen with generic clopidogrel when it became available, there are no problems with health authorities in the UK advocating INN prescribing, similar to other countries [193]. This was different from the situation with pregabalin when generics first became available. The pharmaceutical company threatened legal action if general practitioners in the UK prescribed pregabalin by INN for neuropathic pain, which was still under patent compared with the indication for epilepsy, with similar activities in other European countries [46]. However, this was not the case recently with generic oral oncology medicines with their multiple indications [194], which is encouraging given the rising costs of medicines for patients with cancer. We have also seen originator companies try and argue against the prescribing of generics as seen with Sanofi when generic clopidogrel was first launched. Concerns though with the level of misinformation provided eventually resulted in a fine from the French Health Authority [193,195].
Changes in the pricing approach for generics in the UK resulted in increased transparency in the manufacturing costs as well as the extent of discounts and rebates given by manufacturers to wholesalers and pharmacists. These measures combined with high volumes appreciably lowered the prices of generics over time in the UK (Supplementary Table 3A) [67,187].
Other European countries have introduced either compulsory INN prescribing such as Lithuania or compulsory generic substitution apart from agreed medicines including Sweden, alternatively, physicians specifically writing no substitution in Finland, to enhance generic utilization [70,196,197].
We are aware though that there are examples where reforms have been introduced but have failed to reach their desired objective since not all scenarios were considered before their introduction. This includes initiatives to enhance INN prescribing in Abu Dhabi to conserve resources. However, as mentioned, there were no initiatives to encourage pharmacists to preferentially dispense the cheapest multiple sourced medicine available. In addition, no initiatives to encourage physicians to preferentially prescribe multiple sourced products in the class, with the manufacturers of the still patented medicines questioning the quality of generics [37]. Consequently, the desired savings were not achieved. In South Korea, policies to increase pricing competition among generics and originators in the multiple sourced market to enhance future savings from generic availability had the opposite effect. In fact, the ratio of originator to generic prescribing actually increased in the absence of demand-side measures to encourage the physicians to preferentially prescribe generics first rather than originators [198]. The authors concluded that simple, efficient and well thought out measures are typically more desirable to achieve stated goals than complex measures [198,199], providing direction to others.
There are also concerns that if patients are dispensed different branded generics on different occasions with compulsory generic substitution as seen in Sweden. As mentioned, such practices could lead to patient confusion with the potential for over-dosing, under-dosing or increased adverse reactions unless patients are educated regarding this possibility of different brand names by either the physician or the pharmacist [70,190,200]. INN prescribing can help to address this coupled with only the INN name appearing on the packages of multiple sourced medicines. Having said this, there are concerns with the quality of generics in many LMICs, which challenges routine INN prescribing [201–204]. The launch of the Lomé initiative in Africa in January 2020 to address substandard as well as falsified medicines is a key step forward to enhance physician and patient trust in generic medicines across countries building on earlier WHO initiatives [205–207].
Encouragingly, the extensive price reductions seen for generics in the UK versus pre-patent loss prices (Supplementary Table 2A) have also been seen in other European countries including Sweden [70,208,209]. Alongside this, reimbursed prices for generics in Lithuania and the Republic of Srpska have also matched those of other European countries despite their small population sizes, which was seen as a barrier [196,210]. Increasing competition among generic manufacturers in the Netherlands led to price reductions of 98% versus pre-patent loss prices for generic omeprazole and generic simvastatin, greater than those seen in the UK (Supplementary Table 3A) [211]. However, as seen in Sweden there can be confusion if different branded generics are launched with different names and there is regular switching without informing patients that the medicines are similar [212]. Encouragingly as well, a recent study analyzing prices of generic oral oncology medicines among 25 European countries found that prices were not influenced by the population size of the country or its locality; with prices principally dependent on the regulations within the country regarding the pricing of generics [194]. However, there are concerns with potential shortages if prices of generics are too low, exacerbating current concerns with shortages of medicines across countries [48,213,214]. This must be avoided where possible.
Low prices for generic PPIs and statins were also associated with changes in reimbursement policies among a number of Central and Eastern European countries enhancing their utilization and subsequent patient care [28,210,215].
The low prices for generic oncology medicines seen in the recent study of Godman et al. (2019) mirror the findings of Hill et al. regarding low manufacturing costs for oral cancer medicines [194,216,217]. These low prices for multiple source medicines should lead to a revision of the prices or discounts for still patented oncology medicines that used these multiple sourced medicines during pricing negotiations [23,113]. However, this rarely happens currently, although this may start to change [194].
Biosimilars
We are seeing biological medicines becoming an increasing proportion of global drug expenditure with their high costs at launch [3,6,218]. In Europe in 2018, over 30% of all spending on medicines was on biological medicines, of which 1.5% was biosimilars and growing [218], and by 2023, as mentioned, it is estimated that global spending on medicines will reach US$1.5 trillion, with 50% of total expenditure on specialty medicines including biological medicines, including those for chronic, complex, or rare diseases and growing [1]. These growth rates, alongside the consequences of the recent COVID-19 pandemic on the management of both infectious and non-infectious diseases, is a concern for countries seeking to attain or retain universal healthcare [219–221].
Alongside this, there are also concerns generally with the cost of biologicals across a number of Central and Eastern European countries as well as LMICs, which has appreciably limited their prescribing in practice [222–226]. As a result, denying patients access to effective therapies. Biosimilars are a way forward given their lower costs [227]. By 2018, 16 biological molecules had biosimilar products and this figure is growing rapidly given the prices for biological medicines across countries, the growing number losing their patent, and potential savings [218,227,228].
Acceptance of biosimilars is now growing across countries as more studies are published demonstrating similar effectiveness and safety between originators and biosimilars coupled with growing knowledge that originator companies themselves regularly change their manufacturing processes [167,229–234]. This builds on the landmark NOR-SWITCH study with infliximab sponsored by the Ministry of Health in Norway [167]. In addition, recent reviews have suggested no major concerns with immunogenicity with switching between originators and biosimilars, with potential concerns heightened by the nocebo effect [235,236]. This is manifested by Abbvie reducing the price of HUMIRA by 80–89% in some markets across Europe to deter biosimilar entry although this was not universal [237,238]. However, this has been countered in a number of countries by health authorities and other organisations preferentially contracting with biosimilar manufacturers, as well as introducing quality targets and other measures, to encourage the preferential prescribing of biosimilars versus originators where pertinent [29,30,140,239]. Table 3 contains details of a number of activities by health authorities across Europe to enhance the prescribing of biosimilars and their impact. In addition, Tesar et al. (2020) recently calculated that the health fund in Slovakia could have saved an estimated €35 to 50 million per year if biosimilars with marketing authorizations had been readily available and promoted [240], and such savings are likely to grow. It is imperative though that patients are involved in any switching program to help negate any potential nocebo effect as well as provide feedback regarding any concerns with the effectiveness and safety of the biosimilars [235,241].
| Country/region | Initiative | Outcome where known | Ref. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Catalonia – Spain | • Education including materials, workshops ○ Workshops, meetings, materials and recommendations coupled with prioritizing biosimilars where feasible in regional guidelines and formularies • Engineering including the development of agreed indicators for biosimilar use and benchmarking physicians (hospital and ambulatory care) • Economics – including financial incentives linked to indicators, possible penalties for over-budget situations and increasingly aggressive contracting with companies | % biosimilar use in 2019 as a % of total biological: • Adalimumab – 26% (influenced by contracts with the originator company) • Etanercept – 35.2% • Rituximab – 37.3% | [237,242,243] |
| Denmark – Adalimumab | • Engineering – initially no automatic substitution for biosimilars but changed following the availability of adalimumab biosimilars • Engineering/Economics – single purchaser of medicines for all hospitals in Denmark with the choice of biological depending on the outcome of national tenders • Enforcement – typically only biosimilars can be dispensed if they win the contract | • 3 biosimilars won the adalimumab tender – one biosimilar for children and two for adults depending on the Region • The proportion of biosimilar prescribing reached 95.1% of total adalimumab by December 2018 • Expenditure on adalimumab decreased by 82.8% (September 2018 to December 2018) | [237,244] |
| Norway – Infliximab and Etanercept | • Engineering and Economics ○ The hospitals in Norway combine together in an annual bidding process ○ Normally there is one winner of the contracts covering 12 months – which included biosimilars for infliximab and etanercept when first available | • In 2014, biosimilar infliximab won the contract initially priced 33–39% lower than the reference product • In 2015 prices were further reduced resulting in prices of infliximab 51–69% lower than the reference product • In 2016, biosimilar infliximab was still the cheapest alternative – 60% lower than the originator price • In 2016, biosimilar etanercept was offered for tender at 47% lower than the regular price of the originator | [140,245,246] |
| United Kingdom (England) – various biosimilars | • Education – variety of educational and other booklets discussing biosimilars • Engineering – various including: ○ Target of 90% for all new patients to be prescribed the lowest priced biological medicine within 3 months of the availability of a biosimilar ○ Local health authorities actively encouraging switching to meet the goal of 80% biosimilar prescription rates within one year of launch ○ Regular benchmarking with biosimilar adoption rates closely monitored through regional teams | • In 2017 estimated savings were: ○ infliximab GB£99.4 million ○ etanercept GB£60.3 million ○ rituximab GB£50.4 million The uptake of biosimilars has increased with multiple activities over the years: • Biosimilar infliximab took 28 months to reach 80% penetration vs biosimilar rituximab which took 10 months to reach 80% of total rituximab and biosimilar trastuzumab which took 8 months to reach target penetration rates • In their study, Kim et al. found that infliximab biosimilar accounted for 89% of total infliximab by March 2018 through multiple activities • Expenditure on adalimumab is envisaged to fall by 75% following the availability of biosimilars coupled with aggressive contracting | [247–253] |
| United Kingdom – Scotland – various biosimilars | • Education – multiple educational initiatives among all key stakeholder groups • Engineering – prescribing targets for biosimilar use (new and existing patients) and Health Boards (Regions) regularly benchmarked against each other • Economics – continual pressure to prescribed lower costs biosimilars where possible with ongoing pressure on budgets and the desire to treat more patients with biological medicines | • Etanercept and infliximab biosimilars reached 84% and 94% of total utilization of these biologicals by December 2017; rituximab 74% – its first year of availability • By December 2019, biosimilars for trastuzumab had accounted for 92% of all trastuzumab and biosimilar adalimumab 87% of all adalimumab and growing | [237,254–256] |
| United Kingdom | Multiple demand-side measures introduced by national and regional health authorities including education and prescribing targets (Engineering) | By 2017, infliximab and etanercept biosimilars accounted for 79 and 54% of the UK market share respectively | [257,258] |
Overall, demand-side measures (Table 3) including addressing physician and patient concerns combined with supply-side measures are the key to increasing the prescribing of biosimilars and any associated savings. This was further seen in South Korea where the predominance of supply-side policies based on price-linking, coupled with limited demand-side policies compared with most countries, resulted in appreciably increased utilization of originator infliximab and limited increase in the utilization of biosimilar infliximab following its availability [248]. In addition, appreciably lower uptake of biosimilar rituximab and trastuzumab at just 12.9 and 13.9% respectively of total utilization the second year of their market entry [259]. This lack of demand-side measures and the resultant impact mirrors the situation with limited prescribing of oral generic medicines versus originators in South Korea in the absence of extensive demand-side measures [198,199].
However, we are aware there are biosimilars where there is still caution regarding their use versus originators. This includes insulin glargine where health authorities in England and Scotland currently recommend prescribing by brand name including brand names for biosimilars for new patients due to concerns with different devices potentially increasing hypoglycaemia [227,260–262]. This is in view of concerns that switching between devices could increase the rate of hypoglycaemia [263,264]. This though was not universal as seen for instance in Bangladesh and the USA with increased prescribing of biosimilar insulin glargine versus the originator [265,266]. Lower cost biosimilars will be essential to increase funding and utilization of long-acting insulin analogues in countries where affordability even to insulins is a key issue [267].
Overall, we will expect to see countries learning from each other as more biosimilars become available at lower prices given the envisaged increasing contribution of biological medicines to overall drug expenditure, continued unmet need to effectively manage immunological diseases and cancer, and the need to conserve costs where possible [30,226,268,269]. For instance, it has been estimated that the in USA alone greater fostering of biosimilars for commonly prescribed biologics could lead to estimated savings of US$54 billion over the next 10 years without compromising patient care [270].
Health authority & other initiatives to enhance the prescribing of multiple sourced medicines in a class or related class
Different activities undertaken by health authorities across Europe to enhance the preferential prescribing of generic omeprazole and generic simvastatin versus more expensive patented statins in the class and their impact to conserve resources without compromising care will first be reviewed [28,172,271], before discussing the multiple activities and their impact regarding renin–angiotensin inhibitors. Finally, the findings with other classes of medicines including those for mental health and the implications will also be reviewed along with the implications for future policy making.
Proton pump inhibitors & statins
Multiple demand-side activities (Education, Economics and Engineering) in Sweden to encourage the preferential prescribing of generic omeprazole and generic simvastatin versus patented medicines in the class when these first became available produced considerable savings when compared with Ireland with more limited demand-side measures (Table 4). In both countries, there was an appreciable increase in the prescribing of proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) and statins, with the increase in statin prescribing driven by increasing rates of coronary vascular disease and a greater understanding of the role of statins in preventing further cardiac events [172,271–273]. Multiple demand-side measures also appreciably improved prescribing efficiency in Scotland for both the PPIs and lipid-lowering medicines (Table 4).
| Product areas | Findings |
|---|---|
| PPIs | • Sweden ○ Multiple demand-side measures appreciably increased the prescribing of omeprazole once generics became available up to 74.2% of total PPI utilization and limited the utilization of patented esomeprazole to less than 14.2% of total PPIs by the end of 2007. This coupled with low prices for generic PPIs in Sweden resulted in expenditure decreasing by 49% in 2007 vs 2001 despite a 53% increase in utilization ○ By 2007, expenditure on PPIs was €5832/1000 inhabitants/year • Ireland ○ Limited demand-side measures resulted in utilization of omeprazole decreasing from 46.4% of total PPIs in 2001 to 36.5% in 2007 and patented esomeprazole increasing from 12.2% of total PPIs in 2001 to 30.5% in 2007. This coupled with higher prices for generics in Ireland vs Sweden resulted in both utilization and expenditure increasing utilization by 2.4-fold and 2.6-fold respectively between 2001 and 2007 ○ By 2007, expenditure on PPIs was over €60,000/1000 inhabitants/year • Scotland ○ Multiple demand-side measures (Education, Engineering and Economics) in Scotland coupled with initiatives to lower the prices of generics (Table 2A) resulted in total expenditure on PPIs in Scotland 66.7% lower in 2017 compared with 2001 despite a 3.06-fold increase in the utilization of PPIs during this period ○ The reduction in expenditure was also helped by a reduction in the prescribing of higher strength PPIs given concerns with long term safety |
| Statins | • Sweden ○ Multiple demand-side measures in Sweden resulted in simvastatin utilization increasing to 74% of total statin utilization by the end of 2007 with the utilization of patented statins (atorvastatin and rosuvastatin) limited to 21% total utilization by 2007. This coupled with low prices for generic statins in Sweden resulted in a 39% reduction in reimbursed expenditure in 2007 vs 2001 despite a 3.2-fold increase in utilization during this period ○ By 2007, expenditure on statins was €5192 /1000 inhabitants/ year • Ireland ○ Limited demand-side measures resulted in simvastatin accounting for just 4.7% of total statin utilization by 2007 with the utilization of patented atorvastatin and rosuvastatin accounting for 75.4% of total statins by 2007. As a result, both utilization and expenditure increased by 7.3-fold and 4.9-fold respectively between 2001 and 2007 ○ By 2007, expenditure on statins was over €60,000/1000 inhabitants/year |
| Lipid lowering therapies (Scotland) | • Multiple demand-side measures, including initiatives to reduce the prescribing of ezetimibe due to concerns with its actual effectiveness in reducing cardiac events, resulted in a 50% reduction in expenditure on lipid-lowering therapies between 2001 and 2015 despite a 412% increase in their utilization • The lower costs were despite ongoing educational and other activities to appreciably increase the prescribing of higher dose statins to enhance their effectiveness |
Different European countries have also introduced prescribing restrictions (enforcement) to limit the prescribing of patented PPIs and statins. However, their impact has been variable depending on the extent of follow-up activities and the timing of the prescribing restrictions (Table 5).
| Country | Nature of the restriction | Overall change in utilization of patent protected products | % change over time (patented medicines) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austria – Atorvastatin only (prescribing of rosuvastatin restricted from outset) | Physicians must have the permission of the Chief Medical Officer of the patient's Social Insurance Fund for atorvastatin to be reimbursed otherwise 100% co-payment | • 31.6% of total statin utilization in 2003 (year before restrictions) to 10.9% in 2007 • Simvastatin increased to 64.4% of total statins by 2007 | 66% reduction |
| Finland – Atorvastatin and rosuvastatin | Physicians in Finland have to specify that atorvastatin or rosuvastatin is for a ‘treatment resistant disorder of lipid metabolism’ otherwise no reimbursement | 44.2% of statin utilization before restrictions to 18.7% 1.2 years after restrictions, with simvastatin increasing to 73.5% of total usage | 59% reduction |
| Norway – only atorvastatin (rosuvastatin not reimbursed during the study period) | Physicians typically trusted to write the rationale for atorvastatin in the patient's notes. This could be followed up by the health authority if wished (limited) | 46.2% of total statins in 2004 (full year before restrictions) to 26.2% in 2008, with simvastatin increasing from 34.7% in 2004 to 67.4% in 2008 | 44% reduction |
| Sweden – restrictions on patented statins | Restricted reimbursement on higher strength atorvastatin and rosuvastatin (low doses not reimbursed) to second line in 2009 (6 years after generic simvastatin with accompanying demand-side measures – Table 4 | Continued increase in the utilization of restricted statins (considerable reduction in those not reimbursed) | |
| Norway – Esomeprazole | Lansoprazole, omeprazole and pantoprazole should be prescribed first line as ‘preferred products’ with esomeprazole restricted. However, hospital specialists have to verify the diagnosis and recommend therapy before PPIs are reimbursed and they are not subject to the restrictions | utilization of esomeprazole decreased from 59.6% of total PPI utilization the year before restrictions to 40.9% 2 years after the restrictions | 31.5% reduction |
Prescribing restrictions also severely limited the prescribing of PPIs and statins in Lithuania compared with other European countries (Supplementary Box 1) and compared with the utilization of renin–angiotensin inhibitors in Lithuania where prescribing rates were similar to other European countries [196,215,271]. Prescribing of reimbursed PPIs and statins appreciably increased once restrictions were eased following the availability of low cost generics [215]. These findings again re-enforce the conclusion that aggressive prescribing restrictions can appreciably influence physician prescribing.
PPIs
•
PPIs in Lithuania had a 50% co-payment for reimbursement, with reimbursement restricted to patients with reflux oesophagitis, duodenal ulcers or for Helicobacter pylori eradication – enforced via bar coding system in pharmacies. Otherwise 100% co-pay
•
Until 2006 omeprazole, rabeprazole and esomeprazole were reimbursed. From 2006, only omeprazole was reimbursed in view of the higher requested prices of essentially similar PPIs. Other PPIs 100% co-payment
•
Utilization of PPIs in Lithuania in 2004 was 0.7 DIDs, and 2.3 in 2007. This compared in 2007 with 36.7 DIDs in Sweden, 49.0 DIDs in Austria, 76.9 DIDs in Scotland and 101.0 DIDs in Ireland.
Statins
•
There was a 20% co-payment for reimbursed statins. They were only reimbursed for secondary prevention up to 2008, and up to 2006 only for the first 6 months, enforced through a bar coding system in pharmacies. In addition up to 2006, statins could only be prescribed by cardiologists for reimbursement
•
Since 2006, the first prescription must still be issued by a cardiologist although GPs are subsequently allowed to continue prescribing, which is enforced through an active gatekeeper system in Lithuania. Otherwise 100% co-pay
•
The prescribing restrictions were lifted for generic statins at the end of May 2009, with family physicians now allowed to prescribe generic statins
•
utilization of statins in Lithuania in 2004 was 0.6 DIDs and 0.8 DIDs in 2007. This compared with 36.2 DIDs in Austria, 53.5 DIDs in Sweden, 114.7 DIDs in Scotland, and 144.3 DIDs in Ireland.
DID: Defined daily dose per 1000 inhabitants per day; PPI: Proton pump inhibitor.
Renin–angiotensin inhibitors
In 1997, British Columbia in Canada introduced a reference pricing system for ACEIs as they believed these were all essentially similar [278]. Under this scheme, certain ACEIs were subject to cost sharing leading to switching to avoid co-payments. Overall, the authors found that reference pricing for ACEIs was not associated with any changes in key outcome measures including rates of visits to physicians, admissions to long-term care facilities, hospitalisations, or mortality [278]. As a result, helping to conserve resources without compromising care.
ACEIs can produce a cough in a minority of patients, which was used by the manufacturers of ARBs to justify their prescribing at appreciably higher costs than generic ACEIs despite similar effectiveness and safety of [56,279,280]. Overall, prospective clinical studies had shown that coughing only occurs in approximately 10% of patients prescribed ACEIs with only 2–3% of patients in ACEI clinical trials discontinuing treatment due to coughing [56,280]. This resulted in European countries introducing a variety of measures to limit the prescribing in ARBs. Initiatives included prescribing restrictions in Austria and Croatia, and multiple demand-side measures (Education, Economics and Engineering) in Scotland, contrasting with limited demand-side measures in Portugal combating ARB manufacturers' marketing activities [56,187,281]. These differences in initiatives resulted in appreciable differences in the subsequent utilization of ARBs as a percentage of total renin–angiotensin inhibitors among the four studied countries (Table 6) as well as overall expenditure on renin–angiotensin inhibitors.
| Country | % ARB utilization vs total renin–angiotensin utilization based on DDDs | Expenditure – €/1000 inhabitants/ year | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 | 2007 | 2001 | 2007 | |
| Austria | 15.3% | 24.8% | 13270.7 | 16305.2 |
| Croatia | 2.1% | 13.2% | 6951.1 | 8459.2 |
| Portugal | 19.8% | 44.5% | 18853.8 | 26620.2 |
| Scotland | 11.6% | 18.8% | 9359.3 | 11256.3 |
The greater follow-up of prescribing restrictions among GPs by the authorities in Croatia compared with Austria, which included access to patients' histories, with the potential fines for physicians in Croatia if abuse of the restrictions was suspected, resulted in more limited utilization of ARBs in Croatia compared with Austria during the study period (Table 6) [56,187]. Encouragingly, the multiple demand-side measures introduced in Scotland appeared to be as effective as the prescribing restrictions introduced in Austria and Croatia with limiting ARB prescribing (Table 6), which is important for countries that are unable to introduce prescribing restrictions [187].
There were similar increases in the utilization of renin–angiotensin inhibitors in Scotland between 2001 and 2007 (159%) as Portugal (155%) (Table 6). However, overall expenditure was appreciably lower in Scotland compared with Portugal when adjusting for population size following the instigation of multiple demand-side measures in Scotland to limit ARB prescribing without compromising care (Table 6) [56,187].
However, there was a different outcome in the United Kingdom when the Better Care Better Value (BCBV) indicators were launched in 2009 to try and further enhance the prescribing of generic ACEIs versus patented ARBs [282]. The proportion of monthly ACEIs prescribed as a total of all anti-hypertensive medicines was 71.2% in April 2006 but declined to 70.7% in March 2012. The BCBV policy helped to reduce the rate of decline in the prescribing of ACEIs, with ARB prescribing stable post-BCBV implementation. Overall though, failing to achieve the 80% BCBV target set for March 2012 with the potential cost-saving of 23.9% of total renin–angiotensin expenditure [282]. The failure to achieve established targets with associated cost savings was attributable to a lack of any comprehensive communication program and financial incentives among GPs, GPs had already been targeted for several years to limit ARB prescribing (Table 6) and a reluctance among GPs for therapeutic switching even between related classes due to concerns around deteriorating patient outcomes even though published studies had shown there appeared to be no negative impact on patient adherence to renin–angiotensin inhibitors or clinical outcomes with switching [283,284].
Health authorities across Europe again introduced a variety of measures when losartan became the first ARB to lose its patent (Supplementary Box 5A), which resulted in different rates for the utilization of losartan versus other ARBs, with all ARBs seen as similarly effective at comparable doses [285]. Lifting prescribing restrictions for losartan but not for other patented ARBs enhanced its prescribing in Austria and Belgium; however, the increase was more limited compared with multiple measures in Sweden and delisting of patented ARBs in Denmark, which rapidly resulted in losartan utilization reaching 92.3% of total ARBs (Supplementary Table 4A). However, there was no difference in losartan utilization in Scotland post-generic availability (Supplementary Table 4A) in the absence of any demand-side measures compared with the previous situation limiting ARB prescribing, which again confirms that multiple demand-side measures are needed by health authorities to influence physician prescribing (Table 6).
However, the situation changed in one Primary Care Group in the UK versus Scotland (Supplementary Table 4A) where multiple measures were introduced to enhance the prescribing of generic losartan versus patented ARBs to conserve valuable resources. Measures introduced included educational initiatives among both GPs and patients helped by pharmacists, regular monitoring of patients including their blood pressure following switching as well as financial incentives (Economics) for GPs reaching agreed prescribing targets [191]. By the end of the study period, losartan accounted for 65% of all single ARB items dispensed up from 24% pre the multiple initiatives. Total ARB expenditure was 59% below pre-study levels by the end of the study period helped by a 92% reduction in expenditure per item for losartan. Annual net savings were estimated at over eight-times the cost of implementing the measures without compromising care [191]. This multiple program was seen as appreciably more effective than the previous BCBV initiative encouraging greater prescribing of ACEIs in view of the instigation of multiple measures involving all key stakeholder groups coupled with a sense of urgency to rapidly realise savings [191].
Other medicine classes
Health authorities recognize that there are classes of medicines where it can be difficult to instigate measures to encourage the preferential prescribing of low-cost multiple sourced products first line versus patented products in a class. This includes the atypical antipsychotic drugs for treating schizophrenia and bipolar disease where in view of the differences in patients' profiles, it is acknowledged that treatment should be tailored to individual patients [286–288]. The only exception could be for different formulations of the same molecule where there are considerable cost differences. This happened in Belgium where the price difference between oral and long-acting injections of risperidone widened following the availability of low-cost generics [289]. The regulations were tightened regarding specific prior authorization for the prescribing of long-acting injections, otherwise 100% co-payment, resulting in their reduced utilization in recent years, which is continuing [289].
The same considerations are generally seen with antidepressants [290]. However, there were ongoing activities in Scotland to switch patients from premium priced escitalopram to multiple sourced citalopram alongside continued monitoring of patients given the considerable cost differences and perceived limited difference in clinical outcomes in practice [291]. These activities, alongside continued promotion of INN prescribing in Scotland and low costs for generics (Supplementary Table 2A), resulted in a 73.7% reduction in the expenditure on selective serotonin re-uptake inhibitors (SSRIs) in Scotland between 2001 and 2017 despite a 2.34-fold increase in SSRI utilization during this period [291].
Prescribing restrictions for duloxetine were introduced in Sweden due to concerns with its effectiveness and value compared with other multiple-sourced anti-depressants. These restrictions resulted in significantly increased prescribing of generic venlafaxine [292]. In addition, three monthly expenditures on the newer anti-depressants in August 2011 were 55% below expenditure in January 2009 prior to the availability of generic venlafaxine [292].
Improving antibiotic utilization in ambulatory care
There is still appreciable over-utilization of antibiotics across countries increasing AMR rates and with it associated morbidity, mortality and costs [16,52,293–295]. Concerns with growing resistance rates have resulted in multiple activities among authorities and other key stakeholder groups across countries, with typically multiple activities needed to reduce prescribing and dispensing of antibiotics as well as limit increases where there is already low prescribing rates [52,296–298]. This contrasts with Poland where limited activities among the authorities and other groups have resulted in Poland continuing having one of the highest rates of antibiotic consumption in Europe between 2007 and 2016 [299].
A particular issue is excessive prescribing and dispensing of antibiotics for respiratory tract infections (RTIs) in ambulatory care, which are predominantly viral in origin. This is a concern since RTIs are not only one of the most prevalent infection seen in ambulatory care but they are also the most prevalent condition associated with inappropriate prescribing and dispensing of antibiotics [52,300–303]. This overuse drives up AMR rates within countries [52,304–306], and needs to be addressed going forward based on published evidence-based studies.
Dyar et al. in 2016 described a number of strategies that health authorities can instigate among physicians in high-middle as well as high-income countries to reduce inappropriate prescribing of antibiotics in ambulatory care [302]. There have been several publications since then across countries to provide further evidence-based guidance to relevant authorities seeking to further improve antibiotic prescribing in ambulatory care in their country. Some of these are captured in Table 7. Prescribing restrictions were also successful in Slovenia resulting in an average 42% reduction in the utilization of restricted antibiotics between 1999 and 2012 [297].
| Country (year) | Intervention and impact | Ref. |
|---|---|---|
| Australia (2018) | • Between 2009 and 2015, a series of comprehensive educational campaigns combined with advertising campaigns were undertaken with general practitioners and patients across Australia to help reduce antibiotic prescriptions for URTIs • Overall, the authors believed there was a 14% reduction in dispensed prescriptions following the multifaceted interventions | [307] |
| China (2019) | • Clinical guidelines, monthly prescribing review meetings, doctor–patient communication skills training, and education materials for caregivers were instigated to try and reduce ABR among children with URTIs • The multiple interventions resulted in a 49% reduction in ABR after 6 months in the intervention arm having adjusted for patient and prescribing doctor covariates • These reductions still persisted after 18 months but at lower rates (-36%) | [305] |
| Netherlands (2016) | • An intervention study was undertaken to improve the management of patients with respiratory tract and ear infections (RTI) in ambulatory care consisting of physician education and audit/feedback on the quantity and quality of their antibiotic prescribing, with the results analyzed up to 2 years after the intervention • The over prescribing of antibiotics for RTIs decreased from 44% of prescriptions for these ARIs to 28% following the intervention | [308] |
| United Kingdom – England (2016) | • Every GP in the intervention group (overall 1581 GP practices were involved in the study) was sent a letter from England's Chief Medical Officer stating the extent of their over prescribing of antibiotics vs colleagues – accompanied by a leaflet on appropriate antibiotics for use with patients • The rate of antibiotic items dispensed per 1000 population decreased from 131.25 in the control group to 126·98 in the intervention group – a decrease of 4.27 (3.3%; p < 0.0001), representing an estimated 73,406 fewer antibiotic items dispensed for a limited cost of the intervention • The study concluded that social norm feedback from a senior governmental source reduced inappropriate antibiotic prescribing at low costs | [309] |
| United States of America | • McDonagh et al. (2018) evaluated twenty-six interventions regarding their potential effectiveness to reduce inappropriate prescribing of antibiotics for patients with ARIs • Four interventions had moderate-strength evidence of improved prescribing including: ○ Parent education: 21% reduction in antibiotic prescribing, no increase in return visits ○ Combined patient/clinician education: 7% reduction in antibiotic prescribing, no change in complication or satisfaction rates ○ Procalcitonin testing for adults: 12–72% reduction in antibiotic use, no increased adverse consequences ○ Electronic decision support systems: 24–47% improvement in appropriate prescribing, 5–9% reduction in inappropriate use of antibiotics, no increase in complication rates | [310] |
ABR: Antibiotic prescription rate; ARI: Acute respiratory infection; RTI: Respiratory tract infection; URTI: Upper respiratory tract infection.
There have been similar studies to assess the impact of interventions to reduce self-purchasing of antibiotics, which is particularly common among LMICs accounting for up to 93% of dispensed antibiotics [52,303,311–313]. A number of these initiatives and their outcomes are discussed in Table 8 to provide future guidance. We are aware though that self-purchasing of antibiotics is not possible particularly in high-income countries. Table 7 provides guidance on potential approaches in these countries to improve future antibiotic utilization.
| Country (year) | Activity | Ref. |
|---|---|---|
| Brazil and Mexico (2013) – private pharmacies | Variable results were seen between 2007 and 2012 assessing the impact of legislation banning the sales of antibiotics to patients in private pharmacies without a prescription in Brazil and Mexico (always been the case among public pharmacies in Brazil): • Total antibiotic usage consumption increased in Brazil (from 5.7 to 8.5 DDD/TID) but decreased in Mexico (10.5 to 7.5 DDD/TID) • Interrupted time series analysis showed a change in level of consumption of -1.35 DDD/TID (p < 0.01) for Brazil and -1.17 DDD/TID (p < 0.00) for Mexico. In Brazil, there was a decrease in the level of consumption of the penicillins, sulfonamides and macrolides consumption of 0.64 DDD/TID (p = 0.02), 0.41 DDD/TID (p = 0.02) and 0.47 DDD/TID (p = 0.01) respectively • The authors concluded that while the effect of the restrictions was similar across the countries; in Brazil, the trend of increased consumption of antibiotics was tempered after the restrictions while in Mexico the trend of decreased consumption was accelerated | [314–316] |
| Brazil – Both private and public pharmacies | • Moura et al. (2015) showed a decrease in antibiotic use of 1.87 DDD/TID (p < 0.001) immediately after restrictions banning the sales of antibiotics without a prescription among private pharmacies (2008 to 2012), with a greater decrease in the more developed regions as well as in the State Capitals vs other localities in the region. Not surprisingly, there was no difference in sales in the public pharmacies where there were always restrictions and it is generally impossible to sell antibiotics without a prescription (p = 0.643) • Lopes-Junior et al. (2015) using sales data were from approximately 3000 private pharmacies pre and post the new legislation in Brazil found that sales of amoxicillin (commonly sold antibiotic) fell by approximately 30% post-legislation despite a general growth in the pharmaceutical market, with falls in sales of other popular antibiotics including tetracyclines (30.5% decrease), sulfonamides (28.5% decrease), and macrolides (25% decrease) • Mattos et al. (2017) documented an increase in antibiotic sales from 2008 to 2011 including cephalosporin: 216.8%, quinolones: 170.9%, and aminopenicillins: 140.9%. This was followed by a decrease in sales in 2012 of cephalosporin (-19.4%), quinolones (-12.7%) and aminopenicillins (-11.1%) following restrictions in private pharmacies. There was no significant change in sales of nitrofurans during the study period The differences in the findings in the various findings in Brazil between the different studies before and after the changes in legislation may well reflect differences in datasets and methodologies | [316–318] |
| Kenya (2018) | • Monitoring of antibiotics dispensed among pharmacies allied to the University of Nairobi showed a low level of dispensing of antibiotics without a prescription, with 94.1% of antibiotics dispensed with a valid prescription • No antibiotics were dispensed for patients with influenza or a common cold or influenza with OTC medicines such as cough and cold syrups and lozenges often dispensed • A more recent study during the COVID-19 pandemic also showed no dispensing of either antimalarials or antibiotics without a prescription | [43,319] |
| Republic of Srpska (2017) | • A series of interventions including guidelines for pharmacists and greater enforcement of the regulations banning self-purchasing of antibiotics resulted in self-purchasing of antibiotics for self-diagnosed URTIs significantly decreasing from 58% of requests to 18.5% among the pharmacies visited • Encouragingly, the most common reason for not dispensing an antibiotic was that antibiotics cannot be dispensed without a prescription | [320,321] |
| Romania (2018 onwards) | • A National Committee for Limiting AMR was formed in 2018 - responsible for issuing recommendations to relevant institutions on the training of human healthcare and veterinary staff on the judicious use of antibiotics, testing AMR, reporting resistance rates, as well as general communication in the field of AMR including informing the public about the judicious use of antibiotics and the risks associated with their inappropriate use • The first evidence brief for policy produced in Romania (2020) discussed three options for tackling inappropriate antibiotic use and AMR: (1) consolidate and coordinate the legal framework for AMR in Romania, focusing on two layers (first, the legal framework for controlling AMR at the national level, and second, a national ASP at the operational level); (2) align funding arrangements to facilitate AMR control, ASPs and infection prevention and control programs; and (3) develop and implement programs to provide information, improve education and strengthen communication among medical professionals and the public. • The outcomes will be closely monitored to provide future direction | [322,323] |
| Saudi Arabia (2020) | • In May 2018 in Saudi Arabia, the law and regulations surrounding self-purchasing without a prescription were enforced alongside fines • Before enforcement, 70.7% of pharmacies reported that self-purchasing was common, with 96.6 and 87.7% of participating pharmacies dispensed antibiotics without a prescription for pharyngitis and UTIs respectively • Following law enforcement and fines, only 12.9% reported self-purchasing is still common, with only 12.1 and 5.2% dispensing antibiotics without prescriptions for pharyngitis and UTIs respectively • When antibiotics were dispensed, typically this only happened following considerable pressure from patients | [324] |
| Thailand (2015) | • A multidisciplinary intervention was instigated among grocery stores in a rural province in Thailand using trained community leaders • Grocery stores in the intervention group had 87% fewer antibiotics available postintervention compared with preintervention, whereas the control group had only an 8% reduction in antibiotic availability between the two time periods | [325] |
AMR: Antimicrobial resistance; ASP: Antimicrobial Stewardship program; DDD: Defined daily dose; DDD/TID: DDD/1000 inhabitant per day; OTC: Over-the-counter; URTI: Upper respiratory tract infection; UTI: Urinary tract infection.
Similar to the situation with PPIs and statins (Table 5), the extent of ‘enforcement’ impacts on the outcome. In Venezuela, the government implemented policies to reduce self-purchasing of antibiotics among three antibiotic groups namely macrolides, quinolones and third generation cephalosporins. However, there were no public awareness campaigns. Besides, ‘enforcement’ was made only via formal government publications and was not followed up by the authorities with for instance any increase in pharmacy supervision, any pharmacy closures or any financial sanctions for non-compliance. As a result, there was no decrease in consumption levels, in fact there was an increase in antibiotic utilization during the study period [326].
Similarly in Colombia, while initial enforcement banning self-purchasing in 2005 had a modest impact on overall retail sales in the first three years (-1.00 DDDs/1000 inhabitants per day) following the regulations, a follow-up study 5 years after implementation found that 80.3% of pharmacies were not complying with the regulations with laxed monitoring prompting calls for greater enforcement of the law to achieve appreciable reductions [326,327]. This contrasts with appreciable reductions in antibiotics dispensed without a prescription in a number of countries following multiple interventions, for example, Saudi Arabia (Table 8).
It is recognized though that it can be difficult to enforce regulations banning the self-purchasing of antibiotics especially in rural areas in LMICs with high co-payment rates, limited health insurance among patients and limited number of government personnel to enforce any regulations including fines. Alongside this, where pharmacies maybe the only health service delivery points available [303], it would be problematic to ban self-purchasing of antimicrobials. In this situation, trained pharmacists can help reduce inappropriate dispensing of antibiotics alongside health authorities potentially monitoring pharmacy activities using mobile technologies and instigating IT surveillance systems to track antibiotics through the supply chain to further reduce inappropriate dispensing [303,319]. This may mean improving pharmacists' knowledge regarding AMR and its causes where there are concerns starting in pharmacy school and continuing post-qualification [328–331]. In addition, helping ensure that any antibiotic dispensed for RTIs and other common conditions must be from the Access group of antibiotics including the beta-lactams from the WHO AWaRE list [306,332], and not antibiotics on the ‘Watch’ or ‘Reserve’ list.
COVID-19 misinformation
As mentioned, there have been concerns about the level of misinformation regarding treatments for COVID-19 including hydroxychloroquine [19,40,43]. To date, only dexamethasone has been shown to improve outcomes in hospitalised patients, with concerns with hydroxychloroquine, lopinavir/ritonavir and remdesivir [45,333,334]. However the initial hype surrounding hydroxychloroquine with or without antibiotics resulted in appreciable shortages, price rises and deaths due to suicides in a number of countries [40,42,43]. This though was not the case in countries with strict regulations and activities surrounding the dispensing of antimicrobials including Kenya, Namibia and Vietnam providing direction to others [42,43,335].
Concerns with the misinformation with hydroxychloroquine and its consequences, alongside concerns with misinformation generally surrounding COVID-19, has already resulted in African countries including Botswana and Zimbabwe starting to fine companies, with potentially a prison sentence, for such activities [41]. We are also aware that the US Federal Trade Commission has sent letters to companies they believed were falsely advertising product capabilities for the management of patients with COVID-19 violating federal laws by indicating that claims were “deceptive or scientifically unproven” [336,337]. It is likely that such government activities will grow in the future.
Discussion
There is continued unmet need for new medicines especially new medicines for cancer and orphan diseases as well as immunological disease. However, there are concerns that ever increasing prices for new medicines, which coupled with increasing prevalence rates of NCDs, will appreciable increase expenditure on medicines unless addressed [1,3]. These concerns have resulted in greater pro-activity among health authorities to improve the managed entry of new medicines (Figure 1). Key activities include horizon scanning pre-launch, continued growth in MEAs to help with the financing of new premium priced medicines as well as the increased monitoring of their effectiveness and safety in routine clinical care and against agreed guidance. The latter is seen as particularly important given concerns when dabigatran was first launched in terms of potentially increased morbidity and mortality if physicians were unaware of potential problems in the elderly with poor renal function as well as the launch of new medicines for cancer and orphan diseases often with only limited data available at launch for decision making coupled with high requested prices [20,25,73,74,85].
The growth in MEAs, especially financially-based MEAs, is likely to lead increased discussions among authorities whether such discounts should continue within public healthcare systems especially as they would appear undemocratic [113]. In addition, discussions surrounding who should cover the costs of data collection as part of any outcome-based scheme (Supplementary Box 2A). It is also likely that improvements in EHRs and registries will enhance the design of future outcome-based MEAs resulting in the generation of meaningful clinical data addressing earlier concerns [127,338]. Alongside this, there will be greater discussions regarding fair and transparent prices for new medicines enhanced by greater knowledge among health authorities of the likely cost-of-goods of new medicines [22,121,122,339], coupled with increasing knowledge of the low prices seen for generics and biosimilars in some markets and considerable discounts offered by the manufacturers of biological medicines to help retain market share in the face of biosimilar competition (Supplementary Table 3A) [194,217,238,244].
There is also likely to be increasing research around different approaches to the financing of new medicines especially from the standpoint of payers with increasing availability of more complex treatments including advanced therapy medicinal products (ATMPs) and gene therapies, which are being launched at high prices [3,23,126,340,341]. Examples include onasemnogene abeparvovec (Zolgensma) for spinal muscular atrophy, approved by FDA and recently by EMA, with an entry price of US$2.125 million/ patient [342–344]. In addition, it is increasingly likely we will see the re-evaluation of prices or discounts for patented medicines when the standards used for pricing negotiations become available as either low-cost generics or biosimilars to enhance the affordability and funding for new medicines [23,194], and we will continue to monitor this.
We are already seeing DTC activities grow across countries to improve the quality and efficiency of prescribing among hospital facilities, and this will continue [3,68]. However, the principal issue for many LMICs are concerns with the availability and access to essential medicines as defined by the WHO and others [3,345]. We have already seen considerably lower utilization of biological medicines to treat patients with immunological conditions such as rheumatoid arthritis and inflammatory bowel disease in CEE countries versus higher income European countries due to issues of affordability [222–224], with this situation likely to continue with high prices for new patented biological medicines [71,72]. The increasing availability of biosimilars at low costs should help in this regard as seen with biosimilars for insulin glargine in Bangladesh [227,346].
Adherence to guidelines and other potential quality indicators appear more beneficial in actually assessing the quality of prescribing than current WHO/INRUD criteria, and we are likely to see changes in the future (Table 2). Supplementary Box 3A gives direction to health authorities and others on key considerations when seeking to develop new quality indicators. A key challenge though is to limit their number. This was the philosophy in Scotland when generic losartan became available with encouraging physicians to concentrate on existing indicators rather than introduce an additional one which could cause concern [347]. The ‘Wise List’ in Stockholm County Council, Sweden (Table 2), is also an exemplar for countries seeking to introduce a limited number of medicines in ambulatory care building on the WHO EML concept. Robust processes including good communication and follow-up were keys to the success of the ‘Wise List’, providing guidance to other health authorities.
Typically, increasing the use of multiple sourced medicines as well as biosimilars versus originators and patented medicines is essential to maintain universal healthcare (UHC) where this exists as well as help countries attain UHC as part of attaining Sustainable Development Goal 3 [348,349]. Countries are learning from each other regarding healthcare reforms, and this will continue [28]. The first step toward enhancing the prescribing of generic medicines is to ensure only good quality generics are available for patients as seen for instance in Europe and the US. There are ongoing steps to attain this [205], which include strengthening the registration system and quality tests [350], and these will continue. The aim is to achieve high INN prescribing rates as seen in the UK (Supplementary Table 3A) for non-controversial medicines (Supplementary Box 4A), close to the 100% target established by the WHO (Supplementary Table 2A) [176]. Encouraging INN prescribing helps reduce patient confusion with different branded generics. However, this only works well if patients are warned beforehand that they may be dispensed different packages with different names; alternatively, only the INN name is listed on the packages of multiple sourced medicines as currently seen in the UK. The pricing of generics is also a key consideration especially in LMICs given the increasing prevalence of chronic NCDs especially in sub-Saharan Africa [4,351]. However, if prices of generics become too low then, as mentioned, they potentially become uneconomic to produce exacerbating drug shortages [213,352,353].
There are also multiple initiatives that health authorities can introduce to enhance the prescribing of multiple-sourced medicines first line versus patented medicines in a class or related class. Typically, multiple measures and initiatives are needed to maximize efficiency along with low prices for generics as seen for instance with Sweden versus Ireland for PPIs and statins (Table 4), Scotland versus Portugal for renin–angiotensin inhibitors (Table 6), a primary care group for ARBs in the UK [191], and Sweden versus Scotland (Supplementary Box 5A & Supplementary Table 4A). We also see this when evaluating initiatives to reduce inappropriate prescribing of antibiotics. However, it is recognized that there are certain classes where such activities are difficult including the anti-psychotics [286,288]. In addition, the timing of initiatives is important as seen with the limited impact on the prescribing of ACEIs versus ARBs in the UK following additional BCBV indicators some years after initial multiple measures (Table 6) [282].
There are similar considerations when it comes to appraising the impact of prescribing restrictions instigated by health authorities including their timing (Box 1, Table 5) as well as measures to reduce self-purchasing of antibiotics through laws to prevent this. For instance, greater follow-up in the Republic of Srpska and Saudi Arabia, including potential fines (Table 8), had a considerably greater impact in reducing self-purchasing of antibiotics than that seen in either Colombia and Venezuela with their limited follow-up activities. However, adequate policing is needed to fully enforce any regulations. Care is also needed especially in rural areas of LMICs where community pharmacies may be the principal healthcare professional available for patients. Different approaches are needed in this situation including the presence of appropriately trained pharmacists.
Finally, adherence to guidelines and other potential quality indicators would appear to be more beneficial in actually assessing the quality of prescribing compared with the current WHO/ INRUD criteria, and we are likely to see changes in the future. Supplementary Box 3A gives direction to health authorities and others on key considerations when seeking to develop new quality indicators. A key challenge though is to limit their number. This was the philosophy in Scotland when generic losartan became available with encouraging physicians to concentrate on existing indicators rather than introduce an additional one which could cause concern [347]. The ‘Wise List’ in Stockholm, Sweden, is also an exemplar for countries seeking to introduce a limited number of medicines in ambulatory care building on the WHO EML concept. Robust processes including good communication and follow-up are keys to success as seen in Sweden.
We are also likely to see a growth in disinvestment opportunities as any investment in new or established technologies typically involves a disinvestment. Suggested methods for undertaking such activities and their potential impact have been described in a number of published papers to provide direction [32–35].
We accept there are limitations with this paper. This includes the fact that we did not undertake a systematic review, nor give specific dates for inclusion or exclusion of examples, for the reasons stated. However, we believe the examples documented across multiple disease areas and countries provide examples of evidence-based approaches instigated by health authorities that countries could learn from, including situations where initiatives did not work, given ever increasing pressures on their resources.
Conclusion
In conclusion, we are likely to see continued initiatives among health authorities to better manage the entry of new medicines given concerns with ever increasing prices, which includes a growth in MEAs. Alongside this, continued measures and initiatives to enhance the utilization of multiple sourced medicines and biosimilars versus more expensive patented medicines where this will not compromise care. The resources released will fund increased medicine volumes as well as new premium priced medicines that address areas of unmet need given finite resources within countries. Coupled with this, there will be increasing measures to improve the prescribing and dispensing of antibiotics to curb rising AMR rates. Whatever the focus, the illustrated case histories have shown that typically multiple activities involving the 4Es have a greater impact than initiatives involving only a limited number of measures.
Overall, multiple evidence-based measures are essential to attain or retain UHC as well as increase affordability of medicines, exacerbated by the impact of COVID-19 including its unintended consequences. Countries are learning from each other, and this will necessarily continue.
•
Expenditure on medicines continues to grow and estimated to reach US$1.5 trillion by 2023. The increase in expenditure on medicines is being driven principally by increased prices and expenditure on new medicines for complex diseases including cancer and orphan diseases and will become unsustainable.
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European health authorities and others have introduced new models to better manage the entry of new medicines, which start pre-launch and continue post-launch. Post-launch activities include monitoring the effectiveness and safety of new medicines in routine clinical care as well as against agreed guidance.
•
Peri-launch activities include critiquing managed entry agreements (MEAs) from companies to enhance reimbursement for their new medicines. However, growing concerns with MEAs need to be addressed to accelerate their use.
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There have been activities among health authorities to increase the prescribing of generics and biosimilars versus originators to save monies without compromising care. Typically, multiple co-ordinated activities are needed to maximizing savings.
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There have also been numerous activities among health authorities to enhance the prescribing of multiple sourced products in a class or related class versus considerably higher priced patented medicines. Again, multiple and co-ordinated demand-side measures are needed to maximize savings.
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Co-ordinated activities are also needed to reduce inappropriate prescribing and dispensing of antibiotics in ambulatory care to reduce rising resistance rates. This includes educational activities among physicians, pharmacists and patients.
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Coordinated activities are also need to reduce the level of misinformation and associated consequences for treatment of patients with COVID-19.
Financial & competing interests disclosure
The authors have no relevant affiliations or financialinvolvement with any organization or entity with a financial interest in or financial conflict with the subject matter or materials discussed in the manuscript. This includes employment, consultancies, honoraria, stock ownership or options, expert testimony, grants or patents received or pending, or royalties.
No writing assistance was utilized in the production of this manuscript.
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PubMed: 34241546
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© 2021 Future Medicine Ltd.
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Received: 8 December 2020
Accepted: 28 May 2021
Published online: 9 July 2021
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Evidence-based public policy making for medicines across countries: findings and implications for the future. (2021) Journal of Comparative Effectiveness Research. DOI: 10.2217/cer-2020-0273
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